China’s Cross-Border E-Commerce: Evolution Pattern and Influencing Factors

【摘要】 In recent years, while the traditional trade sectors have been shrinking, China’s cross-border e-commerce has undergone rapid development and has become a new driver of its international trade. Based on analysis of the evolution pattern of China’s cross-border e-commerce, this paper uses a revised gravity model to test empirically the driving factors and the resistance factors in the development of the country’s cross-border e-commerce. The results show that the total GDP, per capita disposable income of urban residents, total imports and exports, and the scale of the online shopping market have a positive relationship with cross-border e-commerce transactions, which are conducive to the development of cross-border e-commerce, while logistics costs inhibit the development of cross-border e-commerce. Accordingly, the paper puts forward several policy recommendations.更多还原

【Abstract】 In recent years, while the traditional trade sectors have been shrinking, China’s cross-border e-commerce has undergone rapid development and has become a new driver of its international trade. Based on analysis of the evolution pattern of China’s cross-border e-commerce, this paper uses a revised gravity model to test empirically the driving factors and the resistance factors in the development of the country’s cross-border e-commerce. The results show that the total GDP, per capita disposable income of urban residents, total imports and exports, and the scale of the online shopping market have a positive relationship with cross-border e-commerce transactions, which are conducive to the development of cross-border e-commerce, while logistics costs inhibit the development of cross-border e-commerce. Accordingly, the paper puts forward several policy recommendations.更多还原