【摘要】 探究河南省旅游业发展与其经济增长之间的相互关系,对于进一步发掘河南省经济增长动力具有重要的现实意义.文章选取了河南省2000—2015年(完整的3个五年规划期)的GDP和旅游收入数据,通过协整检验、格兰杰检验、脉冲响应分析以及方差分解分析,对河南省经济增长和旅游业发展之间的关系进行了实证研究.结果表明:河南省经济增长跟旅游业发展之间存在单向因果关系,即经济增长是引起旅游业发展的格兰杰原因;当前旅游业发展对河南省生产总值的贡献率较低,对经济增长具有间接贡献;旅游业发展具有推动和促进河南省未来产业结构优化的现实作用.文章旨在为河南省旅游业发展和经济增长以及未来产业结构优化提供必要的借鉴与参考.更多还原

【Abstract】 Tourism development plays an immeasurable role in the economic growth of He’nan Province,so the research on the relationship between the two has an important significance to dig potential of economic growth in He’nan Province.This paper selects the data of GDP and tourism revenue from 2000 to 2015 and makes empirical studies of the relationship between economic growth and tourism development in He’nan province via cointegration test,Granger test,pulse response analysis and variance decomposition.The results show that there is a one-way causality,i.e.economic growth is the Granger cause bringing about tourism development and that the current tourism development has a much lower contribution on GDP in He’nan Pronvice.The researching results can provide developing direction for the transformation of tourism and economic development in He’nan Province.更多还原