【摘要】 为研究共享单车的引入对通勤者出行方式选择的影响,通过对南京市通勤居民进行出行问卷调查,从社会经济属性、家庭属性、出行特性及出行意愿4个方面,采用混合logit模型分析通勤者在共享单车出现后的出行方式选择影响因素。结果表明,性别、收入、企事业者/教师医生、拥有私家车、出行费用、出行距离、出行时间及舒适性对通勤者选择私家车出行都是正显著的;年龄、企事业者、出行费用、出行时间及经济/安全/环保性对通勤者选择公共交通具有显著正影响;收入、出行距离、出行时间及安全性对通勤者选择自行车出行具有显著负影响;年龄、性别、出行距离、出行时间及安全性对通勤者选择共享单车出行具有显著负影响。其中,注重经济性的通勤者选择公共交通的概率会达到65.58%,注重环保性的通勤者选择公共交通出行的概率可达到84.55%;注重舒适性和注重经济性相比,优先考虑舒适性,即更愿意选择私家车出行。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on a questionnaire survey of commuters in Nanjing, China, influences of bike-sharing on their travel mode selection is studied. A mixed logit model is used to analyze influencing factors of travel mode selection of commuters from four aspects, including social-demographic factors, family attributes, travel characteristics, and willingness to travel. The results show that gender, income, business/teachers doctors, own private cars, travel cost, distance, time, and comfort are all positive significant for commuters to travel by private cars. However, age, business, travel cost, time, and economy/safety/environment are the factors that have significant positive impacts on commuters to use public transport. The income, distance, time, and comfort have significant negative impacts on commuters to use bicycle. The age, gender, travel distance, time, and comfort have significant negative impacts on commuters to use bike-sharing. Among them, the probability of cost-conscious commuters to choose public transport is 65.58%, while which of environmentally conscious commuters can reach 84.55%. Compared comfort with economy, commuters who prefer comfort more willing to travel by private cars.更多还原