【摘要】 电影票房收益预测问题是全球电影市场研究领域的重要方向,其中,电影信息数据库是支撑该研究的重要基础。针对中国电影市场较欧美国家发展晚,国产电影信息数据库尚属空白的情况,建立了用于票房收益预测的国产信息数据库,为国内电影票房收益预测问题的研究提供了重要的数据支撑。首先,介绍了全球电影票房收益预测问题的研究现状;其次,说明了用于票房收益预测的国产电影信息数据库的建立思路,数据的收集与整理,以及数据库建立的详细过程;最后,基于国外电影数据库票房收益预测的方法,对比了国外电影数据库与该工作建立的电影数据库,结果表明了二者对电影票房收益的预测准确率相似,证明了国产电影信息数据库的有效性。更多还原

【Abstract】 The prediction of film box-office revenues is a hot research area in the Globalfilm industry.A rich film database is the cornerstone for such research.Aiming at the gap between the film industries in China and western countries,and the limited records of Chinese domestic films,this paper established a database of Chinese domestic films for box-office revenue forecasting.Firstly,the global status of film box-office revenue forecasting research is reviewed.Secondly, the ideas and detailed procedures of establishing a database of domestic films are introduced.Finally,a comparison between the proposed database and the well-established databases of films from other countries is performed by using the same box-office revenue prediction method.The test results show that the proposed database shares a similar performance with other databases,confirming that the domestic film database is valid for forecasting box-office revenues.更多还原