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基于竞合理论视角的中美贸易摩擦研究
Research of Sino-US trade friction based on the perspective of Coopetition Theory
【摘要】 竞争与合作共存一直是中美关系的常态。特朗普上台以来,中美贸易摩擦的急剧升级打破了双方此前竞合格局。长期被视为中美关系"压舱石"的经贸合作遭受冲击,双方竞争加剧,中美关系进入到新的竞合阶段。基于竞合理论,本文认为:本轮中美贸易摩擦加剧、中美竞合关系趋于竞争化的根本原因在于守成大国和崛起大国之间的利益之争,在于竞合双方实力对比、扮演角色发生了较大改变;即使中美贸易摩擦告一段落,未来中美竞争加剧也是长期性、大概率趋势;无论在军事、安全等高阶政治领域上,还是经贸、科技等低阶政治领域,中美都会开展更多竞争,而在中美双边经贸、国际公共物品等领域,双方依然有着合作的必要;在应对策略上,中国既要加强中美合作、管控分歧,也要捍卫核心利益、提高国家核心竞争力。
【Abstract】 The coexistence of competition and cooperation has always been the normalcy in Sino-US relations. Since 2017,the sharp escalation of Sino-US trade friction has broken the previous coopetition state of the two sides. Sino-US economic and trade cooperation is suffering a big impact,which has been regarded as the "ballast stone" of Sino-US relations for a long time,Sino-US competition is intensifying,China and the United States have entered a new stage of coopetition. Based on the theory of coopetition,this paper draws the following conclusions: that the fundamental reason for the change in Sino-US trade friction and Sino-US coopetition relations lies in the conflicts of interest between the status quo power and the rising power,and the great changes in the strength and role of both parties. Even if Sino-US trade frictions come to an end,the intensification of SinoUS competition in the future is also a long-term and inevitable trend. Whether in the high-level political fields such as military and security,or in the low-level political fields such as economy,trade,science and technology,both sides will carry out more competition. In the high-level political fields such as security,it is still in the low-level political fields such as economy,trade,science and technology. At the same time,in the field such as Sino-US bilateral trade and international public goods,the two sides still have the need for cooperation. In terms of coping strategies,China not only needs to strengthen Sino-US cooperation,control differences,but also needs to defend core interests and improve its core competitiveness.
【Key words】 Sino-US trade friction; Coopetition; Status quo power; Rising power; Control disparities;
- 【文献出处】 经济问题探索 ,Inquiry into Economic Issues , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年10期
- 【分类号】F752.7;F757.12
- 【被引频次】7
- 【下载频次】953