【摘要】 目的评估2019年8月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果预计8月突发公共卫生事件的报告数将与7月相近,处于全年较低水平。广东、云南等地登革热本地传播疫情仍将持续,部分地区可能会扩散并形成较大规模暴发。新生儿尤其是早产儿的埃可病毒11型感染暴发风险值得关注。食物中毒和高温中暑将处于全年的高发期。8月气象部门预测的洪涝灾区需要关注灾后可能导致的水源性、食源性和媒介传染病上升的风险。8月后蜂蛰伤风险在部分省份也将上升。刚果民主共和国埃博拉病毒病疫情仍将持续发生,但输入我国的风险依然为低。结论 2019年8月我国大陆地区无特别关注的突发公共卫生事件风险;需要重点关注登革热本地传播风险,一般关注埃可病毒聚集性感染、食物中毒、高温中暑、洪涝灾害、蜂蛰伤等事件以及刚果民主共和国埃博拉病毒病疫情输入的公共卫生风险。更多还原

【Abstract】 Objective To assess the risks of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in August 2019. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all the provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this meeting through video terminal. Results It is predicted that the number of public health emergencies reported in August would be similar to that in July, which would be at a low level of whole year. The local transmissions of dengue fever in Guangdong, Yunnan and other provinces would continue, and some of these transmissions might develop into larger scale outbreaks. Attention should be paid to the prevention and control of nosocomial outbreak of Echovirus 11 in neonates, especially in premature infants. The incidences of food poisoning and heatstroke would be at the peaks of the year. The risks of waterborne, foodborne and vectorborne communicable diseases might increase after flood disasters predicted by meteorological department. The risk of bee stings will increase from August in some provinces. The epidemic of Ebola virus disease(EVD) in the Democratic Republic of Congo(DRC) will continue, but the risk of the spread to China is low. Conclusion In August 2019, there is no special concern about risk of public health emergencies in the mainland of China. Close attention should be paid to the risk of local transmission of dengue fever, and general attention should be paid to the public health risks of Echovirus infection cluster, food poisoning, heat stroke, flood related illness, bee stings and EVD in DRC.更多还原