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基于决策规则结构化模型的“一带一路”网络博弈仿真研究

Simulation research on “The Belt and Road” network game based on structural model of decision-making rules

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【作者】 赵昌平李睿齐建华范厚明

【Author】 ZHAO Changping;LI Rui;QI Jianhua;FAN Houming;School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University;School of Transportation Engineering,Dalian Maritime University;

【通讯作者】 赵昌平;

【机构】 大连海事大学航运经济与管理学院大连海事大学交通运输工程学院

【摘要】 以"一带一路"国家双边贸易数据为基础,确立"一带一路"的经贸合作网络,在此基础上引入决策规则结构化模型,结合"一带一路"国家合作的实际情形构建网络博弈的数量模型,分析决策结构的类型、觉察到的非纳什均衡者的比例、对他人决策中噪声的识别、参与者自己决策中的噪声、邻居的奖励、网络给予背叛行为的舆论压力对"一带一路"国家博弈策略选择的影响,用仿真的方法检验相关结论,并讨论了我国的应对策略.

【Abstract】 Based on the bilateral trade data of "The Belt and Road" countries,the economic and trade cooperation network of "The Belt and Road" was established.On this basis, the structural model of decision-making rules was introduced to construct the quantitative model of network game combined with the actual situation of "The Belt and Road" national cooperation. Then, the following aspects are analyzed in this paper, including the influence of the type of decision-making structure, proportion of perceived non-Nash equilibrium, the noise perceived from others’ choices, the noise of the participants’ own choice, the neighbors’ reward and the pressure on the betrayal from the network on the choice of "The Belt and Road"national game strategy.The relevant conclusions were tested by simulation method and the China’s coping strategy were further discussed.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金项目(61473053);国家社会科学基金项目(16BJY068)
  • 【文献出处】 华中师范大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Central China Normal University(Natural Sciences) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年06期
  • 【分类号】F224.32;F125
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】414
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