【摘要】 根据国内外已发生水库诱发地震震例资料,结合金钟水库库区的具体情况,应用概率预测法、综合影响参数预测法、两级模糊评判法、古登堡——里克特公式外推预测法、历史地震最高震级预测法等方法对金钟水库可能诱发的最大震级进行预测研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 According to the reservoir induced earthquake cases have been reported in the world, and combined the conditions of Jinzhong reservoir, the maximum magnitude of reservoir research is made by the application of probability prediction method, comprehensive effect parameter prediction method, two-step comprehensive fuzzy evaluation,Gutenberg-Richter formula extrapolation prediction method, the historical earthquake magnitude prediction method and other methods.更多还原