【摘要】 文中基于甘肃省14县市农户调查数据,运用Logit模型和OLS模型分析生计禀赋、环境感知及个体特征对农民搬迁意愿的影响。研究表明:生计禀赋、环境感知在农民搬迁意愿决策中发挥了显著作用,这一结论通过剔除老年人样本后依然通过了稳健性检验。生计禀赋中住房结构对农民搬迁意愿具有显著负向影响,政府补贴会削弱农民搬迁意愿,耕地并不是决定农民搬迁意愿的主要因素。环境感知中沙漠移动距越大,绿洲保护功能越弱,植被覆盖度越低,农民选择搬迁的概率越高;农民搬迁意愿受生计禀赋和环境感知的影响存在收入、家庭结构及性别的差异;农民搬迁意愿与受教育水平呈显著正相关。上述结论有助于刻画农民搬迁意愿决策机理,丰富干旱区人地关系研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of 608 farmers’ survey data in 14 countries,Gansu,we used the Logit regression model and OLS model to analyze influence and farmer’s relocation willingness by livelihood endowment,environment perception and the livelihood variable. Research indicates: livelihood endowments and environment perception capabilities both had significant effects on farmer’s relocation willingness,this conclusion was still passed the robustness test after eliminating the elderly sample. The influence of livelihood endowment on farmers’ relocation willingness was significantly different; the housing structure had a significant negative impact on farmer’s relocation willingness,and the government subsidy weakened the farmer’s relocation willingness,and land was not the main factor that determine the farmer’s relocation willingness. Environmental perception significantly affected the farmer’s relocation willingness,the faster the desert moved,the weaker the protection function of the oasis was; the lower the vegetation coverage was,the higher the probability that farmer’s relocation willingness was. Income,family structure,and gender influenced farmers ’willingness to relocate. There was a significant positive correlation between farmers’ relocate willingness and education.更多还原