【摘要】 为在拆船补贴政策下设计航运公司干散货船队更新方案,以船公司收益最大为目标建立干散货船队规划模型.以中国远洋海运集团干散货船队为研究对象,预测未来5年的干散货运输需求,分期制定有无补贴下的干散货船的拆解与新造策略.通过比较有无补贴时的船队更新方案,明确补贴对船公司拆解与新造干散货船的影响,以及对船公司提升盈利能力的作用.结果表明,补贴政策可促进老旧船舶的提前拆解;在补贴政策的刺激下,船舶拆解量和造船量大幅度增加.研究有助于政府和航运企业明确拆船补贴的政策效用,促使船公司利用补贴政策更新船舶,提高市场竞争能力.更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to plan the renewal scheme of dry bulk fleet of shipping company under the policy of ship dismantling subsidy, a fleet planning model of dry bulk fleet was established with the objective of maximizing shipping company’s profit. Taking the dry bulk cargo fleet of COSCO as the research object, the demand of dry bulk cargo transportation in the next five years was forecasted, and the strategy of dismantling and new construction of dry bulk cargo ships with or without subsidies was formulated by stages. By comparing fleet renewal schemes with or without subsidy, the impact of subsidy on the dismantling and new dry bulk carriers of shipping companies has been cleared as well as the effects of subsidy on improving the profitability of shipping companies. The result shows that the subsidy policy can promote the early dismantling of old ships. Under the stimulation of subsidy policy, the amount of ship dismantling and shipbuilding increases substantially. The study can help the government and shipping enterprises to clarify the policy effectiveness of ship dismantling subsidy, and promote shipping companies to use the subsidy policy to update ships and improve market competitiveness.更多还原