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去杠杆的路径选择:财政去杠杆还是金融去杠杆?——基于企业部门的分析

The Path to Deleverage: Fiscal Approach or Financial Approach?——Based on the Analysis of Enterprise Sector

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【作者】 周菲赵亮尹雷

【Author】 Zhou Fei;Zhao Liang;Yin Lei;

【通讯作者】 赵亮;

【机构】 南京大学商学院南京财经大学金融学系

【摘要】 "财政去杠杆"与"金融去杠杆"是降低企业部门杠杆率的两条政策路径,本文运用上市公司财务数据实证检验了二者对企业部门杠杆"量"与"质"的影响。结果表明,控制财政支出和政府赤字较之于货币金融紧缩可以更为有效地降低企业部门杠杆率,调减国有企业的结构性高杠杆问题,促使更多金融资本配置到效率相对较高的企业,并且对融资成本影响更小,因而能够在"控风险"的同时兼顾"稳增长"。进一步研究表明,财政去杠杆应从压减政府投资建设性支出着手。为此,政府在去杠杆时应重点关注"财政去杠杆"途径,压减政府支出规模、控制地方政府过度投资冲动;调节金融杠杆时应平缓稳健,为民营企业营造宽松的融资环境;硬化国有企业预算约束,为结构性杠杆调控提供制度保障。

【Abstract】 "Fiscal Approach" and "Financial Approach" are two policy paths to reduce the leverage of the enterprise sector. This paper empirically examines the impact of the two paths on the leverage of the enterprise sector. The results show that controlling fiscal expenditures and government deficits can reduce the leverage ratio of the enterprise sector, especially POEs, and more effectively, promote the efficiency of financial resource allocation, and have less negative impact on the financing environment. Further research shows that fiscal deleverage should start with reducing government investment and constructive expenditure. The research conclusions imply that during deleveraging, the government should focus on the fiscal deleveraging, reduce the scale of government spending, and control the excessive investment motivation of local governments. Adjusting financial leverage should be smooth and stable, thus to create a loose financing environment for private enterprises.The government should harden the SOEs’ budget constraints.

【基金】 2017年国家社科基金后期资助项目“结构性财政调控与新常态下财政政策转型研究”(项目号:17FJY008);2016年江苏省社科基金后期资助项目“财政政策的宏观经济效应与新常态下财政工具选择”(项目号:16HQ009)
  • 【文献出处】 财政研究 ,Public Finance Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年02期
  • 【分类号】F832.51;F275
  • 【被引频次】45
  • 【下载频次】1604
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