【摘要】 PPP旧工业区再生利用项目风险系统具有明显的阶段性,相应地影响各阶段利益分配模式.将PPP旧工业区再生利用项目全寿命周期划分为前期阶段、施工阶段与运维阶段,通过文献调查法与专家访谈法识别项目各阶段风险因素,构建动态风险因素指标体系;为使风险计算结果更有意义,将主客观赋权相结合,采用专家打分法和熵权法确定各阶段风险因素权重,建立PPP旧工业区再生利用项目基于阶段性风险因素修正的Shapley动态利益分配模型.从实用角度将某钢厂设计创意产业园与模型建立相结合,以期为类似项目参考借鉴.更多还原

【Abstract】 PPP old industrial area recycling project risk system has stages that impacting each stage benefit allocation pattern obviously.The dynamic risk factor index system was established by using the literature investigation method and the expert interview method to identify the various risk factors that occur in each stage,which has been divided into 3 parts:prophase stage,implementation stage and operation & maintenance stage.To make the risk calculation result more mcaningfully combining subjective and objective way,expert scoring and entropy method are used to deter mine the weights of risk factors in each stage,established PPP old industrial area recycling dynamic benefit allocation based on risk factor revision of Shapley model.From a practical point of view,the paper combined the steel plant design creative industrial park and the established model together,which aims to be a reference for similar projects.更多还原