【摘要】 本文基于对城市公共服务承载力理论内涵的前期研究结果,从受压力、支撑力、调控力这三个方面构建城市公共服务承载力评价指标体系。进而基于2005-2015年间北上广深四个超大城市的统计数据,进行城市公共服务承载力评价的实证研究,分析城市公共服务承载力的发展规律和结构特点。本文发现,超大城市公共服务的支撑力相近,但受压力和调控力差距较大,承载力的相对水平、内部结构和变化趋势各不相同;承载能力虽然受到人口与经济增长等受压力的一定影响,但是在更大程度上取决于公共服务支撑力和调控力的水平,取决于城市公共服务供给的质量、效率以及城市治理的水平。因此,在城市问题的治理中,应更重视通过公共服务的有效供给和城市治理水平的提升,以改善和解决各类城市发展问题,而非片面强调对城市人口规模和发展速度的刚性控制。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the study of theoretical definition on carrying capacity of urban public service, this paper firstly aims to formulate an evaluating index system with three aspects of pressure, supportive and regulative factors. Secondly, it tries to analyze the growing trend and regional disparity of urban public service supply based on empirical study of this evaluating index in Beijing,Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and discuss main factors which are influencing the improvement of carrying capacity in four mega cities.Finally it finds out that the four cities are obviously different in its level, structure and changing tendency of carrying capacity of public service. Furthermore, supportive and regulative factors have more dominant influence on carrying capacity of public service rather than pressure factors. The improvement of effectiveness in service distribution and urban governance is more important than negative growth control on urban population and spatial scale when considering countermeasures for current urban problems.更多还原