【摘要】 间断—均衡理论是由弗兰克·鲍姆加特纳和布赖恩·琼斯于1990年代提出,他们试图从议程设定理论出发,结合政策图景和政策场所的互动,同时解释政策过程中稳定和变迁问题。与其他政策过程理论相比,间断—均衡理论的一个最重要的特点是在保持内核不变的同时,一直在演进和发展过程之中。这也使得间断—均衡理论的概念性框架没有达成共识,不利于合作研究和持续理论发展。本文试图对间断—均衡理论不同发展阶段的研究成果进行系统总结,提出一个整合的框架结构图。通过将认知、过程和制度进行有机结合,我们认为作为一个整合的间断—均衡理论,可以从行为模型、政治制度和政策图景、随机过程、正反馈和负反馈机制、核心命题、研究方法等六个方面进行阐述。间断—均衡理论的整合框架的提出,有利于该研究的传播、检验、交流、对话、发展和中国应用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Punctuated Equilibrium Theory(PET) was proposed by Frank R. Baumgartner and Bryan D. Jones in 1990s. They try to explain the dual policy processes of stability and change using the interaction of policy images and policy venues based on the agenda setting perspective. Compared with other policy process theories, one of the most important characteristics of PET is that it is on the pro-cess of evolution while keeping its core proposals. As for this reason, scholars have no common sense of the conceptual frameworks of PET, which impedes the cooperation and further theoretical developments. This article proposes an integrated framework of PET based on the researches of different periods. Focusing on the mutual interactions among the cognition, process and institutions, we address that the framework can be divided into six parts, namely behavior model, political institutions and policy images, stochastic process, negative and positive feedback, core propositions, and research methods. The integrated framework of PET will contribute a lot to the communication,discussion, testing, developments and its applications in China.更多还原