【摘要】 基于2015年湖北黄冈市区育龄夫妇家庭生育意愿的随机问卷调查,从文化、经济、社会、个人等因素分析当代生育家庭主体——年轻夫妻不愿意多生的原因,以及不同因素中各层次人群生育意愿差别,并给出新政遇冷相应的政策意见。分析显示,婚姻状况、职业类型、文化程度、子女个数等因素对人群的生育意愿具有显著影响。和已婚者相比,未婚者更可能不愿意生育第二个孩子;体制内工作者比体制外工作者更可能不愿意生育第二个孩子;文化程度越高,越不会选择生育二孩;子女个数越少,越可能愿意生育孩子。建议及时完善配套的新生育福利政策,解决年轻家庭的后顾之忧,让年轻家庭生得出、养得起,使社会步入代际稳定可持续发展的层面。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the survey questionnaires of urban couples’ fertility desire in Huanggang in2015,this thesis analyses the reasons for subject of contemporary fertility families——young couples refusing to have more children from the cultural,economic,social,and personal factors,etc.,as well as the differences in fertility desire at every level of groups in each factor. Moreover,it provides strategic suggestions according to people’s indifference on new policy. The results revealed that economic condition,degree of education,marital status,urban or rural areas belongings and occupation had obvious significance on their willingness. Specifically speaking,unmarried couples are less inclined to bear another child than married couples;Workers in the system have higher possibility to not have the second child than the workers out of the system;the higher degree of education people get,the less possibilities for them to bear the second child;the smaller number of children,the stronger fertility desire. It is suggested that new fertility welfare policies should be perfected and matched in time,which the policies could resolve young families’ worries about the future,let the children are affordable for the young families,and make the society standing on a stable and sustainable development level.更多还原