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非洲包容与可持续工业发展测度及援助方式选择
Measurement of inclusive and sustainable industrial development and choices of aid modes in Africa
【摘要】 本文结合包容与可持续发展(ISID)的内涵,构建了包含"社会发展""工业增长""资源环境"和"平等包容"四大维度的非洲ISID测度指标,实证检验不同援助方式对非洲ISID的作用影响。结果表明,2000—2014年非洲ISID虽有进步,但水平普遍偏低且进步缓慢,非洲中高收入国家呈现进步趋势,中低收入和低收入国家基本不变甚至发生倒退。技术援助与外商援建投资对非洲ISID有显著促进作用;赠款援助无法解决储蓄率和外汇不足的资金缺口问题,援助效果较差;有偿贷款的援助方式需要更加谨慎,其仅对市场经济环境相对成熟的非洲中高收入国家起积极作用,对大多数非洲国家影响作用不大甚至会使其陷入被动。非洲中高收入国家已经开始注重工业增长与资源环境、社会公平之间的协调关系,非洲中低收入国家正面临不可持续发展和"污染天堂"的挑战。
【Abstract】 Combining the connotation of Inclusion and Sustainable Development(ISID),this paper constructs four dimensions of African ISID indicators including"social development","industrial growth","resources and environment"and"equal inclusion",and empirically tests the impact of different aid modes on African ISID.The results show that,although there has been progress in Africa’s ISID from2000 to 2014,the level is generally low and the progress is slow,a trend of progress is observed for the middle and high-income countries in Africa while the low-income and middle-income countries basically remain unchanged or even retrogress.Technical assistance and foreign investment and construction via aid have a significant role in promoting African ISID;grant assistance was unable to solve the problem of insufficient savings rate and foreign exchange fund gap,and achieved poor results;commercial loans need to be more prudent,which only play apositive role in the relatively mature market economy environment of middle and high-income countries,and have little or no effect for most African countries.Middle and high-income countries in Africa have begun to pay attention to the coordinated relationship between industrial growth,resources environment and social equity,while low and middle-income countries in Africa are facing the challenges of unsustainable development and"pollution paradise".
- 【文献出处】 全球化 ,Globalization , 编辑部邮箱 ,2018年11期
- 【分类号】F14
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】108