【摘要】 为改善景区交通拥堵问题,研究景区居民出行行为,在石花洞景区展开居民出行特征问卷调查,分析景区居民出行需求和居民出行交通方式选择影响因素,并利用非集计模型构建景区居民出行交通方式选择预测模型。结果表明,景区居民出行交通方式选择受出行时长影响较大,家中有车居民在日常活动中更愿意驾车出行,男性居民出行更偏向于使用私家车,中青年尤其喜欢自驾出行,且以景区居民出行者的性别、年龄、出行目的、出行时间、私家车拥有量为影响因素的交通方式选择非集计模型预测精度较高,其中步行方式的预测准确率高达95.5%。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to relief traffic congestion and study the travel behavior of the residents live in scenic area,aquestionnaire is carried on Shihuadong scenic area to understand the travel characteristics of them.By analyzing the travel demand and the influential factors of travel mode selection,this paper uses the disaggregate model to build travel mode selection mode.The result shows that the travel mode selection is affected by the duration of travel;the car-owned residents are more willing to travel by car;males are more tending to drive;youngers are more likely to drive as well.And the disaggregate model,considering travelers gender,age,travel purpose,travel time,and car-own rate has great prediction accuracy,in which the hit rate of walking way is as high as 95.5%.更多还原