【摘要】 利用2001~2011年的工业行业进口数据,对中国32个工业行业的进口专业化程度进行了测度,并实证分析了中国工业行业进口专业化与经济增长之间的关系。研究结果表明:不管是从全部行业来看,还是从资本密集型行业来看,进口专业化程度的提高对行业经济增长的影响是显著的正效应;与此同时,进口专业化程度与行业经济增长之间存在着正U型曲线的关系,而且,中国的经济发展阶段已经越过了U型曲线的拐点,即中国处于进口专业化程度提升会促进行业经济增长的阶段。因此,中国要高度重视进口在经济发展中的作用,提高行业进口专业化程度,充分发挥进口对经济增长特别是对行业发展的促进作用,加快发展资本密集型战略性新兴产业。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper, we make measurements for the import specialization degree of China’s 32 industrial sectors utilizing the import data of China’s industrial sectors in 2001-2011, and empirically analyze the relationships between import specialization and economic growth of China’s industrial sectors. The result shows that the specialization of import has a positive impact on the economic growth of China’s industrial sectors, no matter from all the sectors or capital-intensive industries. Moreover, there is a U-shaped relationship between China’s import specialization and economic growth, and for the current development stage,China has crossed the inflection point of the U-shaped curve. That is, China is in the period when the specialization of import has a positive impact on the economic growth of China’s industrial sectors. Therefore, China should attach great importance to the role of import in economic development; raise the degree of import specialization in industrial sectors; make full use of the role import play in promoting economic growth, especially the development of the industries; and speed up the development of capital-intensive strategic emerging industries.更多还原