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2016年我国跨境资金流动特点与展望

China’s cross-border capital flows in 2016 and future prospects

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【作者】 温建东

【机构】 剑桥大学管理学会

【摘要】 2016年境内外汇供求状况总体好转,但年末流出压力回升。国际收支逆差主要源于非储备性质的金融账户逆差居高不下和经常账户顺差回落;从稳定性和波动性项目看,长期资本还是看好中国,净流出主要是非直接投资的资本流动(Non-FDI Capital Flow)。2017年我国跨境资金形势总体好于前两年,但仍将面临较多不确定性。

【Abstract】 In 2016,supply and demand of foreign exchange in China were improved,yet the capital outflow pressure rose again approaching the end of the year.The unfavorable balance of international payments stemmed mainly from the all-time high level of deficit in non-reserve financial accounts and the drop of surplus in current accounts.From the perspectives of stable and volatile forms of capital respectively,long-term capital remained optimistic about China,and the net outflow mainly caused by Non-FDI Capital Flow.In 2017,China’s cross-border capital flow will be improved as compared with the previous two years,yet many uncertainties may still remain.

  • 【分类号】F832.6
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