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基于时间序列分析方法的伊犁州GDP的预测研究
The Evaluation of the GDP in YiLi Prefecture Countries Based on Time Series Analysis
【摘要】 基于时间序列理论,以伊犁州1978年至2014年来生产总值为基础数据,利用Eviewes8.0软件对数据进行处理分析,并对模型进行显著性检验,综合各种条件确定最终时间序列回归模型,对伊犁州未来三年的生产总值做出预测,为伊犁州党委、政府制定相关经济政策和发展战略提供科学依据.
【Abstract】 In this paper we analyse the data of GDP of Yili from 1978 to 2014 based on the time series theory.We deal with these data with the software Eviewes 8.0 and have a significance test for the mathematical model.Then we develop a time series regression model,and make predictions for the GDP of Yili in the next three years.These results can provide a scientific basis for the economic policies and development strategies of Yili’s government.
【基金】 新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2016D01C386)
- 【文献出处】 数学的实践与认识 ,Mathematics in Practice and Theory , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年13期
- 【分类号】F127;O211.61
- 【被引频次】9
- 【下载频次】537