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北京市某区PM2.5与居民冠心病死亡关系研究

Relationship between fine particulate matter and coronary heart disease death in one district of Beijing

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【作者】 周慧霞谢俊卿信振江崔宝荣潘颖李洁

【Author】 ZHOU Hui-xia;XIE Jun-qing;XIN Zhen-jiang;CUI Bao-rong;PAN Ying;LI Jie;Fengtai District Center for Disease Control and Prevention;

【机构】 北京市丰台区疾病预防控制中心

【摘要】 目的探讨北京市某区细颗粒物(PM2.5)污染对居民冠心病死亡造成的影响。方法采用R 3.0.1软件建立分布滞后非线性模型,在控制了长期趋势、星期几效应、气象因素等混杂因素的影响后,分析2013年1月1日-2016年12月31日北京市某区PM2.5与居民冠心病死亡之间的关系。结果单污染物模型中,PM2.5(lag1)对居民冠心病死亡的影响具有统计学意义,大气中PM2.5浓度每升高10μg/m3,居民冠心病死亡平均增加0.21%(95%CI:0.02%-0.41%)。双污染物模型中,引入SO2后,PM2.5对居民冠心病死亡的影响无统计学意义(P>0.05);分别引入NO2和O3后,对冠心病死亡的影响均在滞后第1天(lag1)具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论北京市某区PM2.5污染与居民冠心病死亡之间存在正相关关系,PM2.5对居民冠心病死亡的影响与其他大气污染物之间存在协同作用。

【Abstract】 Objective Explore the relationship between fine particulate matter(PM2.5) and coronary heart disease death in one district of Beijing.Methods Distributed lag non-linear models(DLNM) was used to examine the exposureresponse relationship between PM2.5 and coronary heart disease death under controlling long-term trends,the"day of the week"effect and meterological factors.Results Per 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 0.21%(95% CI: 0.02%-0.41%) increase in coronary heart disease death at lag1 in single-pollutant model.The estimated effects of PM2.5 on coronary heart disease remained statistically significant at lag1 when NO2 and O3 was respectively included in the model(P < 0.05).There was no significant associations between PM2.5 and coronary heart disease death at all lag structures(P > 0.05) when SO+2 was included in the model.Conclusion PM2.5 was positively associated with the daily mortalities of coronary heart disease in one district of Beijing.

  • 【文献出处】 首都公共卫生 ,Capital Journal of Public Health , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年05期
  • 【分类号】R12;R541.4
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】209
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