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城市化、人口红利与日本经济增长关系研究

Study on the Relationship between the Urbanization,Demographic Dividend and Japan’s Economic Growth

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【作者】 金华林刘伟岩

【Author】 JIN Hualin;LIU Weiyan;College of Economic & Management,Yanbian University;

【机构】 延边大学经济管理学院

【摘要】 20世纪60年代后,日本经济飞速发展,"人口红利"在经济增长重要战略机遇期起着举足轻重的作用,这一作用的发挥离不开日本快速的城市化进程。20世纪90年代后,日本的"人口红利"逐渐式微并向少子老龄化社会迈进,但这并不意味着人口红利的结束,居民储蓄、老年人再就业、人力资本积累的增长或将推动"第二次人口红利"的出现。中国作为人口大国,其经济增长模式和人口转变模式与作为经济大国的日本都呈现出相似的情形,对日本的研究可以为中国未来发展提供重要的借鉴,中国应充分利用当前的"人口红利"并促使"第二次人口红利"的实现,延长人口红利作用期以保证经济增长的持续性。

【Abstract】 Since the 60 s of the 20 thcentury,"Demographic Dividend"as an important strategic opportuni-ties to economic growth plays a pivotal role in the rapid development of Japanese economy,which could notbe separated from Japan’s rapid urbanization. After the 1990 s,Japan’s"Demographic Dividend"gradual-ly declined and strode forward to the low birthrate and aging society,but that does not mean the end of the"Demographic Dividend",for the bigger savings based on the thought of"save against a rainy day"mightpromote the emergence of the"Second Demographic Dividend". Japan as an economic power and China asthe most populous country present similar situation whether from the economic growth mode or from popula-tion transition mode to see. Studying the"road"that Japan has gone can provide important reference forChina’s future development. Based on the idea of"take the essence and discard the dross",China willmake full use of the current"Demographic Dividend",promote the realization of the"Second DemographicDividend",and prolong the Demographic Dividend period in order to realize the sustainable development ofChina’s economy.

  • 【文献出处】 人口学刊 ,Population Journal , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年02期
  • 【分类号】F299.313;F131.3;C924.313
  • 【被引频次】20
  • 【下载频次】1580
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