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基于仿真的病人滞留与床位配置研究

A Simulation Study of Blocking Effects on Patient Flow and Beds Allocation

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【作者】 吴晓丹李岚步磊Mohammad T.Khasawneh

【Author】 WU Xiao-dan;LI Lan;BU Lei;Mohammad T.Khasawneh;School of Economics and Management,Hebei University of Technology;State university of New York at Binghamton;

【机构】 河北工业大学经济管理学院纽约州立大学宾汉姆顿分校

【摘要】 在大型医院的急救一体化模式中,急诊室与下游住院科室床位配置不合理,往往引起急诊部拥堵不堪,病人等待时间较长等问题。特别考虑病人在急诊室滞留的同时接受下一阶段服务,且服务不可抵消的急诊过程,建立考虑滞留的急诊部两阶段床位配置仿真模型,在科室优先权不同的情景下,从滞留可能性的角度研究床位配置对急诊效率的影响,确定相对较优的床位配置方案,四种权重系数方案下滞留可能性依次降至6.00%、4.27%、5.45%、5.11%。最后对病人的到达率进行灵敏度分析。

【Abstract】 In the context of emergency integrated mode in big hospitals,unreasonable beds allocation between upstream EDs and downstream related inpatient departments leads to ED congestion and longer blocking times.The model of patient flow was proposed,wherein if the downstream departments are full,patients would accept second-stage service at the same time if their first-stage services are blocked.An empirically based two-stage bed allocation simulation was proposed to optimize beds allocation under four different department priorities,and blocking probability decreased to 6.00%,4.27%,5.45%,5.11% under optimal beds allocation.Multiple sensitivity analysis tested the variation of the results to changes in patient arrival rate.

【关键词】 滞留可能性仿真床位配置
【Key words】 blocking probabilitiessimulationbeds allocation
【基金】 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71302169);河北省社会科学基金资助项目(HB16GL035)
  • 【文献出处】 工业工程与管理 ,Industrial Engineering and Management , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年01期
  • 【分类号】R197.3
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】369
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