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中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品出口潜力研究——基于扩展引力模型的实证分析

The Export Potential of Electromechanical Products between China and Countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt:An Empirical Study Based on Augmented Gravity Model

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【作者】 张静中曾勇

【Author】 ZHANG Jingzhong;ZENG Yong;Business School of Hohai University;

【机构】 河海大学商学院

【摘要】 本文作者使用2005~2014年中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品贸易的面板数据,通过构建相对应的扩展引力模型,研究中国对这些国家机电产品出口的影响因素和贸易潜力。实证结果表明:进口国国内生产总值、经济开放程度、对中国直接投资和优惠贸易制度安排会推动中国机电产品出口,而地理距离和进口国为内陆国是主要的阻碍因素。潜力分析结果显示中国与丝绸之路经济带沿线国家在机电产品贸易领域仍有较大潜力,有进一步发展的空间。最后,基于模型结果,作者提出了促进中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家机电产品出口的相关政策建议。

【Abstract】 This paper uses panel data of the electromechanical products trade between China and countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt in 2005-2014 to study the influencing factors and trade potential of China’s export of electromechanical products by constructing the augmented gravity model corresponding to the research. The empirical results show that the GDP of importers, economic opennesslevel, direct investment in China and preferential trade system arrangement promote the export of electromechanical products. Landlocked countries and geographical distance are the main obstacle factors. Potential analysis results show that in the field of electromechanical products trade,there is still great potential and further room of developmentfor China and countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt still have. Finally, based on the model results, we put forward some relevant policy suggestions to promote the export of electromechanical products to countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt.

【基金】 中央高校基本科研业务项目“中国对中东欧国家贸易绩效影响因素分析”(2016B46114);江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目(KYLX16_0673)
  • 【文献出处】 国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报) ,International Business , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年04期
  • 【分类号】F426.61;F752.62
  • 【被引频次】46
  • 【下载频次】1608
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