节点文献
金砖国家高技术产品出口的技术特征及演化趋势预测
Research on Characteristics & Development Trend of High-Tech Products Exports in BRICS Countries
【摘要】 为了探析金砖国家高技术产品贸易的优势,本文运用面板数据模型和出口相似度等方法分析检验金砖国家高技术产品出口的经济增长联动性、产业结构依附性、贸易互补性等技术特征,并采用ARMA模型对金砖国家高技术产品贸易发展趋势进行预测,以期为提高中国高技术产品出口提供参考。
【Abstract】 In order to explore the advantages of high-tech products trade of the BRICS countries,the paper uses the panel data model and export similarity analysis method to test technical features of economic growth linkage,industry structure dependence,trade complementary of high-tech products exports of BRICS countries,and uses the ARMA model to predict the development trend of high-tech products trade of the BRICS countries to provide a reference for improving Chinese high-tech products exports.
【关键词】 金砖国家;
高技术产品;
计量模型;
技术特征;
演化趋势;
【Key words】 BRICS countries; high-tech products; econometric model; technological characteristics; evolutionary trend;
【Key words】 BRICS countries; high-tech products; econometric model; technological characteristics; evolutionary trend;
【基金】 国家社科基金重大项目“经济全球化背景下中国产业安全研究”;项目编号:10zd&029
- 【文献出处】 商业研究 ,Commercial Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2017年01期
- 【分类号】F746.12;F276.44
- 【被引频次】3
- 【下载频次】317