【摘要】 目的分析泰安市手足口病的发病状况,探讨气温因素对于其发病的影响。方法收集并整理从2008~2013年泰安市手足口病的数据和气象数据,并且利用时间序列分析法分析手足口病例发病率之间的联系。结果 2008~2013年,泰安市共报告新发手足口病病例39 497例,其中男性24 210例(占61.30%),女性15 287例(占38.70%),男性的发病率为143.14/10万,女性的发病率为92.60/10万(P<0.01)。日发病例数随着日平均气温的升高而呈现上升的趋势(P<0.01),日平均气温25℃时,发病例数出现高峰。5~7月是手足口病的发病高峰期。结论手足口病发病率的增加与日平均气温的增加相关,0~8岁是高发年龄段。更多还原

【Abstract】 Objective To analyze the epidemic of hand,foot,and mouth disease(HFMD)in Tai’an city,so as to explore the influence of temperatures on it. Methods Data related to cases of HFMD and parameters of temperature in Tai’an during 2008-2013 were collected and arranged.through time-series analyses to evaluate the possible relationship between weather variability and pediatric HFMD cases. Results The total number of HFMD cases reported in Tai’an city was39 497 during 2008-2013,males,24 210(61.30%),females,15 287(38.70%)and the incidence of disease was 143.14/105(males)and 92.60/105(females)(P <0.01).The peaks of HFMD appeared in May-July,when the daily mean temperature grew,more cases were reported.At 25 ℃,the highest incidence occurred(P <0.01). Conclusion The number of HFMD cases increases significantly with the increasing mean temperature,the incidence from age 0to 8is the highest.更多还原