【摘要】 以2004~2014年中国省域旅游与综合环境之间的发展关系为研究对象,经过指标筛选,结合耦合协调度分析(CCDM)、探索性空间数据分析法(ESDA),对其协调发展程度的时空演变趋势进行定性及定量分析。结果显示:近十年来,我国各地区旅游发展与综合环境的协调性均有所提高,最大值集中在北京、上海两地,最小值集中在青海、西藏等西部地区;各地区的协调性在空间上总体呈现集聚模式,且集聚程度不断提高;"高-高"集聚中心位于江浙沪一带,且集聚范围不断扩大,溢出效应明显,发展模式具有较强的推广性;"低-低"集聚中心位于西部地区,但范围有所减少;"低-高"集聚类型地区相对不稳定,受溢出效应影响,发展势头良好。更多还原

【Abstract】 The relationships between tourism development and comprehensive environment of provinces in China are taken as the research objects. Based on the data from 2004 to 2014, this paper screened indexes and qualitatively and quantitatively analyzed the spatial-temporal evaluation of coupling coordination degree using the integrated approach combining the coupling coordination development method and exploratory spatial data analysis model. The results show that: in the last decade, the coupling coordination degrees in each province of China increased obviously, the maximum values are in Beijing and Shanghai, and the minimum values mostly located in western China, such as Qinghai and Xizang; in space, the Global Moran’s I is positive which indicates a positive spatial autocorrelation, and the index is on an increase; the center of "High-High" pattern is located in Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai, and the regional scale become larger, the spillover effect of it is significant, the development pattern of this region is replicable; the center of "Low-Low" pattern is located in the western China, the regional scale is on a decrease; because of the spillover effect, the provinces belong to "Low-High" pattern are changing, but have a good development trend.更多还原