【摘要】 在深入分析克拉玛依市发展现状的基础上,构建了人口–经济–环境系统的评价指标体系,运用系统综合评价模型、耦合协调模型,定量分析了2000年以来克拉玛依市人口、经济、环境系统综合发展水平及耦合协调状况,研究结果表明:1经济系统发展最快,人口和环境系统则呈波动上升态势;2系统间协调发展程度不高,协调水平逐年上升,由2000年的0.391增加到2012年的0.616;3克拉玛依发展类型依次为人口主导经济滞后型、人口主导环境滞后型、经济主导环境滞后型。最后根据这一发展趋势,提出了各系统可持续发展的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Karamay city is a typical resource-based city, it is faced with many problems such as economic transformation, social security, environmental deterioration, and so on. Given this, we took relevant data of population, economy and environment to build 18 evaluation indexes from 2000 to 2012. by using comprehensive evaluation model, coupling coordination model and the classification standard. The comprehensive development level and coupling coordination of population, economy and environment system are quantitative estimated since 2000. Through analysis, we got the trend of development level and the coordination degree of the three big systems. The results indicated that: 1the speed of economic system development is the fastest, system development of population and environment showed fluctuation upward trend; 2the level of coordinated development is not high but increased year by year, increased from 0.391 in 2000 to 0.616 in 2012; 3The development types are economic lagging behind the population, environment lagging behind the population and the environment laging behind the economics. Finally, we put forward some positive suggestions for the sustainable development of the Karamay City.更多还原