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外商直接投资对中国GDP增长的影响

The influence of foreign direct investment on China’s GDP growth

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【作者】 田惠敏刘江

【Author】 Tian Huimin;Liu Jiang;

【机构】 国家开发银行研究院北京物资学院

【摘要】 外商直接投资对于资本输入国的经济增长有着重要作用,但作用的路径和程度并非线性,其中关键因素之一是资本输入国所处的发展阶段。文章根据中国1983年—2014年间的相关数据,从人均收入发展阶段的角度实证分析了FDI对中国经济增长的影响效应,发现自中国经济进入起飞阶段之后,人均收入的变化放大了FDI对于GDP的推动效应。但是自2010年之后,人均收入的变化开始抑制FDI对于GDP的拉动效应,尽管实证结果并不显著,却在一定程度上表明中国应及时完善吸引FDI的政策。

【Abstract】 Although foreign direct investment(FDI)plays an important role in the economic growth of recipient countries,the path through which the effect takes place and the extent are nonlinear,and one of the key factors that caused the nonlinearity is the development stage of recipient countries.According to relevant data between1983 and 2014 and from the perspective of development stage based on per capita income,this paper empirically analyzes the effect of FDI on China’s economic growth,finding that,after Chinese economy entering the takeoff stage,the changes of per capita income amplifies the pulling effects of FDI on GDP.However,since 2010 changes in per capita income has begun to suppress the pulling effect of FDI on GDP.Although empirical evidence is not strong,to a certain extent it shows that China should improve the policies in time that are designed to attract FDI.

  • 【分类号】F832.6;F124.1
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】483
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