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后发国家新兴产业赶超的机遇识别与政策协同——基于演化经济视角的分析

Distinguishing of Chance and Coordination of Policy of Rising Industry in Later Developing Countries——Analysis Based on Transforming Economic Perspective

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【作者】 夏林

【Author】 XIA Lin;School of International Relations, Peking University;

【机构】 北京大学国际关系学院

【摘要】 长期的经济萧条可催生一系列的技术革新,而技术革新在经济增长的过程中又可培育与促进新兴产业的发展。基于技术-经济范式的发展逻辑,技术变革与新兴产业是一个不断协同和融合的过程,而这种协同与融合又会诱发新的技术与产业。通过分析可知,发展中国家在新兴产业演化的不同阶段面临的优势与劣势有所不同,而发展中国家的具有明显较强技术赶超能力的企业应选择在新兴产业演化的萌芽时期进入新兴产业,而发展中国家赶超能力相对较弱的企业则应选择在新兴产业演化的发展时期进入新兴产业。服务于战略性新兴产业发展的技术-经济范式转换,不仅需尽可能地发挥"国家"在不同经济主体之间的协调作用,而且要在操作层面尽可能地尊重每个经济主体在实践过程中的相互协调行为,不断促进技术-经济范式由零星、小规模的自发行动转向有组织、大规模的全面性活动,且尽可能地推动各个部门的行动与技术-经济范式转换的要求相一致。

【Abstract】 Lasting economic depression gives rise to a series of technological innovation, which can foster and promote rising industry in the process of economic growth. Based on the development logic of technological-economical pattern, technological reform and rising industry is a process of constant coordination and integration, which leads to new technology and industry. Through analysis we can see that developing countries have different superiority and inferiority in the different phases of the transformation and enterprises in these countries with comparatively strong ability to surpass should enter the new industry at the early stage of the transformation, while enterprises with weak ability enter at the developing period. Transformation of technological-economical pattern serving strategic rising industry should bring into full play the"state"in coordination among different economical subjects, and in practice respect each economic subject in their practice to coordinate, promote the transformation of sporadic, small scale spontaneous practice of technological-economical pattern into organized, large scale complete activity and make the practice and transformation of each sector as consistent as required.

  • 【分类号】F113.2
  • 【被引频次】10
  • 【下载频次】506
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