【摘要】 根据WIOD数据库对中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值进行核算,并通过SDA方法考察各种结构性因素变化对中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值变化的影响。发现中国纺织服装业出口国内增加值增长速度最快且总额最大;但出口贸易增加值率的整体趋势是下降的,且下降程度最大;其他样本国对中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值的贡献力度整体大于中国对其他样本国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值的贡献。SDA结果表明,中国纺织服装业前向国际产业关联变动和中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值系数变化是中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值增长的两大抑制力。而其他四种因素的变动总体上都促进了中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值增长,尤其是中国纺织服装业出口贸易增加值来源地规模增长和中国纺织服装业后向国际产业关联加强。本文研究结论对于树立战略思维和全球视野,构建更加安全的纺织服装业全球价值链体系具有重要启示。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on WIOD database, the paper accounts the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade, and uses the SDA method to examine the effects of the structural factors’ changes on the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade. The paper finds that the overall and domestic added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade is fastest growing and the largest total,but the overall trend of the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade rate is down and the reduction is the greatest; and the contribution of other sample country to the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade is significantly greater than China to the other sample country’s SDA results show that,The change of the forward international industry association of Chinese textile clothing industry and the change of the added value coefficient of Chinese textile clothing export trade are the two big restraining force of the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade growth. However, the change of the other four factors are generally conducive to the growth of the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade, especially the growth of the added value of Chinese textile clothing export trade in the size of Origin and the strengthening of the backward international industry association of Chinese textile clothing industry.The conclusion of this article have an important enlightenment in seting up the strategic thinking and global vision, and building a safer global value chain system of the textile clothing industry.更多还原