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经济结构分化与结构性通胀机制

Economic Structural Differentiation and Structural Inflation Mechanism

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【作者】 谢晓鸥

【Author】 Xie Xiaoou;

【机构】 南京大学经济学院

【摘要】 本文通过建立一个两部门的一般均衡模型,从供给和需求两个层面分别分析了经济结构分化及其他非结构性因素对国内结构性通胀的作用途径和机制,并通过FAVAR计量模型,使用2002—2014年的季度数据进一步验证相应的结论。研究结果表明,无论是供给侧还是需求侧,结构分化特征和其他非结构性因素对结构性通胀的作用效果和作用路径不同。因此,应更加关注经济结构分化引发的结构性通胀风险防范,在治理结构性通胀方面,应重视产业政策、收入政策等结构性政策与货币政策等总量政策的协同配合。

【Abstract】 In this paper,through the establishment of a two- sector general equilibrium model,analyzed economic structure differentiation and other non- structural factors of domestic structural inflation pathways and mechanisms from the two aspects of supply and demand. Then use the FAVAR econometric model,with the quarterly data in 2002-2014 further verify the corresponding conclusion. The results of the study indicate that both supply side and demand side,the differentiation characteristics of structure and other non- structural factors have different effect and different paths of structural inflation,which labor productivity differentiation and evolution of demand structure,income inequality in distribution of structural differentiation characteristics not only may directly cause the structural inflation,but also affect the labor wages,external cost,total income of traditional non structural factors of structural inflation effect direction and size. Therefore,we should pay more attention to the the structural inflation risk prevention caused by differentiation of economic structure,in the governance structural inflation should attach importance to industrial policy,income policy structural policy and monetary policy and the policy of total synergy.

【基金】 2013年教育部“创新团队发展计划”项目“经济转型背景下稳定物价的货币政策”(项目编号:IRT13020)的阶段性成果
  • 【文献出处】 财经科学 ,Finance & Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2016年11期
  • 【分类号】F121;F822.5
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】260
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