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产业结构与经济增长关系的实证研究——以浙江省金华市为例
Empirical Research on the Relationship between Industrial Structure and Economic Growth with Jinhua,Zhejiang as an Example
【摘要】 改革开放以来,随着经济体制的转变,我国产业结构也发生了变化。虽然国内诸多学者对产业结构与经济增长之间的关系从理论和实证上都有研究,但至今没有统一的结论。而且,大多数学者并未考虑制度变化对产业结构与经济增长关系的影响。改革开放后,我国经济体制经历了从有计划的商品经济向社会主义市场经济转变的过程,这两个时期对该问题研究的影响是不同的。文章通过虚拟变量把制度因素引入到模型当中,以金华地区为例,对产业结构与经济增长关系作了实证分析,以期探求其三次产业间的关系及与地区经济的增长关系。
【Abstract】 China has witnessed great changes in industrial structure with the transformation of economic system since its reform and opening up. Although many studies concerning the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth from theoretical and empirical perspectives have been done by domestic scholars,consensus has not been reached so far. Most scholars do not take into account the impact of institutional changes on the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth. But after China’s reform and opening up,our economic system has experienced changes from the planned commodity economic system to a socialist market-oriented economy,which has impacted differently on the issue. Therefore,this paper attempted to bring institutional factor into model by using virtual variable,and made empirical analysis of the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth with Jinhua as an example so as to explore the relationships among three industries and the relationships between three industries and regional economic growth.
【Key words】 industrial structure; economic growth; granger-causality test; co-integration analysis;
- 【文献出处】 浙江师范大学学报(社会科学版) ,Journal of Zhejiang Normal University(Social Sciences) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2015年05期
- 【分类号】F121.3;F124.1
- 【被引频次】6
- 【下载频次】416