【摘要】 2014年岛内政治发生重大深刻变化,马英九执政困境加深,国民党在"九合一"选举遭遇重大挫败,岛内政治版图"蓝消绿长"态势进一步强化,民进党实现2016政党轮替的信心与机会大增。受岛内变局的不利影响,两岸关系呈现"高开低走"的态势,渐入整体曲折颠簸、个别领域停滞不前的换挡期。同时,两岸关系"大陆强、台湾弱"的总体格局以及两岸实力差距进一步拉大的趋势还在强化,大陆对台方针政策也在新形势下继续丰富和发展,始终牢牢把握着两岸关系发展的主导权。更多还原

【Abstract】 Major changes took place in Taiwan politics in 2014,including the worsening situation for Ma Yingjiu’s administration,the phenomenal defeat of the Kuomintang(KMT)in the "Nine-inOne"Elections,the growing trend of "shrinking Blue and expanding Green"on Taiwan’s political map,and the rising confidence and possibility of the Democratic Progressive Party(DPP)in winning the 2016 election.As a result,cross-Strait relations have begun to encounter increasing challenges and even occasional setbacks.In the meantime,with the widening power gap between mainland China and Taiwan,the mainland is expected to largely maintain its Taiwan policy and go on leading the course of peaceful development of cross-Strait relations.更多还原