Based on time series analysis of rural residents' consumption level in China from 1978 to 2011 which is analyzed,the passage uses SAS software and the ARIMA( p,d,q) time- series model reflecting the residents' consumption level and established a better model of change rule,time series analysis was carried out on the rural residents' consumption level in China and short- term forecasting. Results show that the future for a period of time China's rural residents' consumption level will be further increased ra...