【摘要】 本文研究了全球价值链重构的形式与动因,建立了全球价值链重构的产业均衡模型,考察了全球主要制造业产品的贸易集中度,分析了中国作为贸易大国在其中的作用,结合中国主要出口商品值的波动与制造业内部各部门出口额占世界的比重及位次变化,分析了重构对中国制造业产品出口贸易结构波动的影响。研究表明,全球价值链重构在中国并没有大规模出现,但重构的趋势是存在的,而最可能出现重构的并非传统劳动密集型产品,而是机电产品与高新技术产品。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper inspects the form and the driving force of the reconstruction of the global value chain, sets up an industry equilibrium model of the reconstruction to examine the trade concentration of the world’s main manufacturing products and analyzes the influence of China as a large trade country in the reconstruction. In view of the fluctuations in the value of China’s main export commodities and the proportion and ranking of the value of China’s manufacturing export of varied sectors in the world, this paper further studies the impact of the reconstruction on the structure change of China’s manufacturing export. The study results show that the reconstruction of the global value chain is currently not prevalent in China, but the trend of the reconstruction is certain. Products that are most likely to face the reconstruction are mechanical or electrical products and high-tech products instead of the traditional labor-intensive products.更多还原