【摘要】 本文针对研究生教育质量预警的内容、方法、标准等基本问题进行了探讨,以研究生生师比、生均科研经费、生均发表论文等表征研究生教育质量的核心要素,构建了预测和预警模型,并利用教育部直属理工农医类高校的数据进行了实证分析。研究表明:综合利用各种数学预测模型,可以较为精确地对相关指标进行预测,进而提前发现研究生教育质量要素指标的相对变动趋势并作出预警。本文对开展研究生教育质量预警研究和具体实践具有思路和方法上的借鉴意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper is firstly presented with the definition of basic problems related to the early warning of postgraduate education quality,such as its content,methods and standards,etc.Then,the forecasting and early-warning models are constructed with key factors including student-teacher ratio,cost of scientific research per student and published papers per student for illustration.And empirical analysis has been made with the help of the data from science,engineering,agricultural to medical universities directly under the Ministry of Education.The study shows that the integrated utilization of mathematical prediction models is able to accurately predict relevant indicators,detect the changing trend of the indexes of postgraduate education quality factors and make alarm.The study offers some inspiration for the researches and specific practices of the early warning of postgraduate education quality from the perspectives of thoughts and methods.更多还原