【摘要】 近年来,湖南省城市发展迅速,建设用地不断扩张,了解建设用地变化特点,掌握其变化的主要驱动力对于合理规划建设用地、控制非理性扩张、更科学的促进城市发展具有指导意义。为研究湖南省建设用地扩张的驱动力,先分析了建设用地的动态变化,并以湖南省1996—2011年的经济社会时序数据为基础,定量化的筛选驱动力指标,并利用偏最小二乘法(PLS)建立驱动力模型,结果表明:湖南省建设用地扩张较快;产业结构调整、经济因素中的交通因素、城镇化和城镇人口在所有驱动力因子中对建设用地影响较为明显,将对政策类驱动力加入模型,并提出湖南省建设用地发展应合理制定土地利用规划,促进产业结构调整,完善土地管理制度。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to study the driving force of the expansion of construction land in Hunan Province,the paper analyzes the dynamic change of construction land,choosing the driving force quantitatively to establish the driving force model by PLS(Partial Least Squares).The results show that the expansion of construction land in Hunan Province is very rapid.The most significant driving forces are industrial structure adjustment,the transport factors,urbanization and population growth.Finally,besides adding the policy driving force to the model,the paper offers suggestions for the development of the construction land in Hunan province,including reasonable land-use plan,promotion of industrial structure adjustment and improvement of the land management system.更多还原