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韩国经济增长与对外贸易关系的实证分析
An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Growth and Foreign Trade Relations in Korea
【摘要】 为了解韩国经济增长与对外贸易的关系,利用1980-2013年的时间序列数据对其进行了ADF检验、协整检验和Granger检验,分析结果表明,韩国经济的增长会促进其对外进、出口贸易额的增加,即两者间存在着长期稳定的协整关系。其中,出口导向型战略对经济的拉动作用主要体现在长期发展中,而在短期内并不明显;进口对经济的推动作用不仅在短期和长期内均十分显著,而且对出口也有促进作用,这主要得益于其进口商品结构。
【Abstract】 To learn the relations between Korea’s economic growth and its foreign trade,this paper analyzes the statistics between 1980 and 2013 chronologically with the approaches of ADF test,co- integration test,Granger test. The analysis shows the economic growth of the Republic of Korea will facilitate its growth in import and export trade volume; in other words there is a co- integration relationship between them. The effect export- oriented strategy has on boosting economy can be seen mainly in the long term.Import can boost the economy in both the long and the short term,and can also boost export; this is mainly due to the import commodity structure.
【Key words】 Foreign trade; economic growth; ADF test; co-integration test; Granger test;
- 【文献出处】 东疆学刊 ,Dongjiang Journal , 编辑部邮箱 ,2015年04期
- 【分类号】F131.26;F753.126
- 【被引频次】5
- 【下载频次】543