【摘要】 基于2000—2012年统计数据,从政府调控与管理、环境承载力、经济支持力、社会支撑力、需求保障和供给保障六个层面选取25个影响因子构建旅游业发展潜力评价指标体系,并借助SPSS19.0统计软件,运用主成分分析法对三亚市旅游业发展潜力进行了实证研究。结果显示:三亚市旅游业发展潜力持续增强,发展潜力指数从2000年的-0.67增长到2012年的1.37,这主要得益于政府调控与管理,环境承载力、经济支持力及社会支撑力也是其重要影响因素。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper,an evaluation index system of tourism development potential is constructed,which is composed of 25 influencing factors and five subsystems of regulation and management of the government,the environmental bearing capacity,economic support,social support,demand and supply assurance. Then,with the aid of SPSS19.0 statistical software and using the principal component analysis(PCA) to study empirically the Sanya tourism development potential. The result shows:the Sanya tourism development potential is enhanced continuously,developing potential index has climbed from 0.67 in 2000 to 1.37 in 2012,and the tourism development potential is mainly thanks to the government regulation and management,environmental capacity,the development of the economic support and social support.更多还原