【摘要】 本研究基于快速城镇化视角,以安徽省2010~2013年的生物资源账户和能源账户为依据,运用生态足迹模型,定量评价全省的生态足迹和生态承载力。结果表明:研究时期内,安徽省人均生态足迹由2.5735 hm~2/人增长到2.7579 hm~2/人,人均生态承载力由0.3473 hm~2/人减少到0.3444 hm~2/人,人均生态赤字呈上升趋势,表明安徽省可持续发展面临挑战。同时运用GM(1,1)模型对2014~2015年的人均生态足迹和人均生态承载力进行了预测,结果显示,安徽省生态赤字继续增加,生态环境将持续恶化,据此,本研究提出了减少生态赤字的对策。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the perspective of rapid urbanization,and the biological resources and energy accounts in Anhui Province from 2010 ~ 2013,the ecological footprint and bearing capacity were quantitatively evaluated using ecological footprint model. In results,the ecological footprint per capita increased from2. 5735 hm~2 to 2. 7579 hm~2,the ecological carrying capacity per capita reduced from 0. 3473 to 0. 3444 hm~2,and the ecological deficit per capita was on the rise in Anhui Province in the research period. All these indicated that the sustainable development of Anhui Province faced challenges. Meanwhile,the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity per capita of Anhui Province in 2014 ~ 2015 were predicted using GM( 1,1)model. The results showed that the ecological deficit increased continuously,and the ecological environment would get worse,so the countermeasures for reducing ecological deficit were put forward.更多还原