【摘要】 面向运作系统的协调与优化问题是指为了提高运作系统的效率和应对不确定环境的能力而提炼出的一类相关科学问题.这类协调与优化问题的基本特征是非线性、多目标、变结构以及决策信息的不确定性,一直是国内外研究的热点和难点.我们以运作系统中的理论与实际问题为研究对象,从需求预测、系统设计、运营和风险控制等多个方面开展了深入的研究工作.重点研究了运作系统的非平稳需求预测与决策、供应链协调与集成设计优化以及面向运作系统的风险预测与控制等问题,取得了一些原创性的理论成果,在一定程度上带动了国内外相应方向研究的发展.更多还原

【Abstract】 Coordination and optimization for an operational system aims to improve the operational efficiency of the system and its ability to cope with uncertain environments.This kind of research problem is characterized by nonlinearity,multiple objectives,variable structures and uncertain information,and has always been a hot and difficult topic in operations management.By taking the theoretical and practical problems in operations systems as the research subject,in-depth research was conducted from the perspectives of demand forecasting,system design,operations and risk control.Specifically,focus waslaid on non-stationary demand forecasting and decision-making,supply chain coordination and integrated design,as well as risk prediction and control for operations systems.Some original results have been obtained,which to some extent promote the development of the research in corresponding directions.更多还原