【摘要】 基于时间序列分析原理,采用最小二乘参数估计方法,通过引入室外温度作为回归项,得到了集中供热系统负荷预测的ARMAX模型并应用于对实际供水温度的预测。通过预测值和实际值的对比,其结果证明了该模型和方法的有效性。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the principle of time series analysis,using least squares parameter estimation method,ARMAX model applied to the central heating system load prediction has been gotten by introducing outdoor temperature as a regression term. Through the actual prediction of the supplied water temperature,the results proved the effectiveness of the proposed model and methods.更多还原