【摘要】 R&D投入是测度一个国家或地区R&D活动规模、评价其科技创新和竞争能力的重要指标。采用多变量灰色模型(Multi-variable grey model)—MGM(1,n)对我国未来R&D投入目标强度进行预测,并提出确保目标强度实现的相关对策措施,为我国未来科技管理提供理论依据和实证支持。更多还原

【Abstract】 R&D expenditure is an important index to evaluate R&D scale and innovation ability.Some R&D activities targets were not achieved successfully in the 11 th Five-Year-Plan Period.During the 12 th FiveYear-Plan Period,it’s important to distribute and use R&D capital rationally in the context of shortage in S&T source.The paper evaluates the performance of our country’s R&D input on base of SFA model from 2002 to2008.Study shows that our country’s R&D efficiency is raising,but it’s very evident in different areas,and the promoting space of R&D efficiency is large.At the same time,there’s not clear promoting effect that the government R&D finance and human capital affect R&D efficiency.With improving the R&D efficiency,we should put emphasis on the R&D input ways and means,ensuring and controlling system,R&D cooperation and so on.更多还原