【摘要】 笔者在对现有假设及环境要素化理论的不足进行深入分析后,提出和基于"正环境产出"假设、界定了环境商品概念及特性,并运用林达尔均衡分析和基于方向距离的生产评价理论,从水平、结构和动态效率三个维度,提出了社会生产环境友好性评价指标集。进而,以我国2020年目标"环境-经济"产出为前沿配置,采用扩展Malmquist指数分析方法和引入产业结构效应变量的多元超对数回归模型,对2005年~2020年间我国及美欧俄印社会生产的环境友好性程度及效率进行了评价和比较,认为我国"环境-经济"产出及效率与国际先进水平差距在迅速缩小,调整方向正确,但仍显著且不够均衡。更多还原

【Abstract】 The standpoint of present environmental economics is based on negative expected production assumption,which emphasizes on production induced pollution and its negative externality,irrespectively of the value of existing environmental resources and its conservation. After clarifying shortcomings of prevailing theories,this paper innovatively defines "positive"environmental output as total pollutants abatement with respect to actual emission of base period,incorporates the environmental stock into environment production efforts,redefines the scope and implication of environmental commodity and its features. Further,by Lindale equilibrium analysis and directional distance based production evaluation method,a novel series of aggregate indicators for evaluating environment amicableness of social production are proposed with detailed discussion. In empirical analysis,given carbon abatement and GDP growth target in 2020 as realistic production frontier,social environment-economy productivity is evaluated with normalized aggregate data series between 2005 and 2020,in which positive environmental output is given as compared to environmental output and GDP in 2005 while efficiency evaluation by extended Malmquist indices calculation. By international comparison with US,EU,Russia and India,certain differences are discussed in details between these countries and China for policy implication about social production adjustment of China. Complementally,by a multivariate trans-log regression model that incorporates industrial structure effect,it is reinforced that environment-friendly social production adjustment of China is in accord ance with development strategies of referred leading economies. Social productivity and its efficiency gaps between China and developed economies are shrinking significantly,while economic output-biased development in China will continue in certain period. Finally,policy implications are given about practical strategies of social production adjustment towards environmental amicableness.更多还原