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我国产业结构与就业结构协调发展路径探析
Analysis of the Coordinated Development Path of China’s Industrial Structure and Employment Structure
【摘要】 合理的产业结构和就业结构是我国经济持续健康发展的必要前提。通过对三次产业结构偏离度的分析,发现了我国就业结构调整滞后于产业结构调整这一事实;进一步利用相关系数矩阵、就业贡献率来考查三次产业的发展与我国就业的关系,得出第三产业对促进就业的重要作用这一结论;并考查TFP和DEEP对我国就业的影响,发现现阶段的技术进步和资本深化对劳动力产生了替代作用;最后,提出了促进劳动力流动和扩大就业的政策建议。
【Abstract】 Rational industrial structure and employment structure is a necessary prerequisite for the sustainable and healthy development of China’s economy. Through the analysis of Structural deviation,we get the answer that the structural adjustment of employment lags behind the industry. After examining the relationship between the three industrial and employment by using the correlation coefficient matrix and employment contribution rate, we find out that the tertiary industry play an important role on promoting the employment. Then examining the impact of TFP and DEEP,we find out that technical progress and capital deepening produce a substitution effect to labors. Finally,we propose the policy recommendations to facilitate labor mobility and increase employment.
【Key words】 industrial structure; employment structure; hysteresis; coordinated development;
- 【文献出处】 哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版) ,Journal of Harbin University of Commerce(Social Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2014年02期
- 【分类号】F121.3;F249.2
- 【被引频次】10
- 【下载频次】216