【摘要】 面对复杂的运营环境,电网企业存在较大的运营风险,且对其缺乏全面监测和动态预警,研究从电网运营全过程角度设计了运营监测指标,建立成果性、驱动性指标,基于模特卡罗模拟方法设计了动态调整的阈值设计方法,建立运营预警雷达图分析工具,并利用采集到的国家电网公司的相关数据进行方法实证分析,验证了该方法有效性与实用性。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the complex grid operation environment,power grid enterprises are faced with great operational risk,and the lack of a comprehensive monitoring and dynamic early warning. Therefore,from the perspective of power grid whole operation process,this paper designed the operation monitoring indicators based on outcome and drive,formulated the dynamically-adjusted threshold design method based on Monte Carlo simulation,and established analysis tools for operational early warning radar map. Then empirical analysis was conducted on the collected the relevant data of State Grid Corporation of China,verifying the validity and practicability of this proposed method.更多还原