【摘要】 以保定西部8县为例,对该地区1997~2012年农业碳排量进行测算,并运用EKC曲线模型对保定西部地区农村经济发展与农业碳排放的关系进行验证。结果表明,保定西部地区农业碳排放量在逐年升高,但近几年增长速度开始放缓;EKC模型显示保定西部地区农业碳排放和农村经济发展水平之间存在着明显的倒"U"型曲线关系,且即将进入下降阶段,然而多种因素会对该趋势产生影响,该区域仍面临经济发展和生态保护的双重压力。最后提出科学降低化肥、农药、塑膜的使用量,采用先进农业技术降低机械碳排量,发展新型农业经济等策略。更多还原

【Abstract】 Taking calculated 8 counties in Baoding city as an example.The agricultural carbon emission in this area from1997 to 2012.The relationship between environment and rural economy development was analyzed by environmental kuznets curve model.The results showed that the agricultural carbon emission was increasing.The rate of agricultural carbon emission growth was slowed down.The relationship between carbon emission and agricultural economy development presented an "U"-shaped curve.The trend was influenced by many factors.Advices were proposed to reduce application rate of fertilizers,pesticides and plastic film,to use new advance technology of agriculture and to develope new agricultural economy.更多还原