【摘要】 利用马氏时变参数法建立珠江流域西北江下游流量过程演算模型,将思贤滘岗根水文站在线实测流量成果应用于实时校正中。经过3个阶段的演算,对马口水文站和三水水文站进行2次实时校正洪水流量预报。经实例验证效果较好。更多还原

【Abstract】 The west and the north river downstream flow process calculation model was established based on the Markov time-varying parameter method. The online measured flow results of the Ganggen hydrological station was used for the model’s real-time correction. After three stages of calculus,the model was used to forecast the secondary real-time correction flood flow of the Makou and Sanshui hydrological station. The model was verified by examples.更多还原