【摘要】 目的:探讨肺炎患儿肺炎与气候因素之间的相关性。方法:2006~2011年期间由于急性肺炎而住院的10596例儿童进行多病原检测,以明确肺炎支原体感染。同时收集2006~2011年苏州地区有关气象资料。结果:肺炎支原体肺炎占所有肺炎患儿的29.28%(3102/10596);MP肺炎全年均可发病,并具有季节性,好发于夏季,检出率高达36.13%。肺炎患儿MP检出率与月平均气温之间存在中度正相关(rs=0.501,P<0.0001)。另外肺炎患儿MP检出率与月总雨量也呈正相关,但是相关性比较弱(rs=0.276,P=0.019)。经逐步回归分析表明肺炎支原体肺炎发病率的差异49%是由气温所致(β=0.49,t=4.697,P<0.0001),且平均气温上升1℃,MP肺炎发病率增加2.2%。肺炎患儿MP检出率且可以通过模型预测的。结论:肺炎支原体肺炎的发病率与气候相关,尤其是温度对肺炎支原体肺炎发病有着重要的影响。更多还原

【Abstract】 Objective: To study the role of climate factors on Mycoplasma pneumoniae(MP) pneumonia in Children in Suzhou, China.Methods: Due to acute pneumonia and 10,596 cases of children hospitalized for multi-pathogen detection period 2006~2011, in order to clear Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection.Also collected from 2006 to 2011 in Suzhou relevant meteorological data.Results: Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia accounted for 29.28% of all children with pneumonia(3102/10596); MP incidence of pneumonia all year round and seasonal, occur in the summer, the detection rate of 36.13%.Positive correlation between the presence of moderate pneumonia MP detection rate and monthly average temperature(rs=0.501, P<0.0001).Another MP pneumonia detection rate and monthly total rainfall was also positively correlated, but the correlation is weak(rs=0.276, P=0.019).Stepwise regression analysis showed that differences in the incidence of mycoplasma pneumonia by 49% due to the temperature(β=0.49, t=4.697, P<0.0001), and the average temperature rise 1 ℃, MP pneumonia increased incidence of 2.2%.The detection rate of children with MP pneumonia and can be predicted by the model.Conclusion: MP was one of the most common pathogen in Suzhou according 6-year pathogen surveillance.MP penumonia has its seasonality.Mean temperature was the main factor affecting the incidence of MP pneumonia.更多还原